On Sun, Jan 27, 2013 at 1:03 AM, <Meekalahmed2@aol.com> wrote:
--Read this again recently.I met one of the US representatives on the investigation team about three/four years ago at a dinner. She was not very forthcoming.It surprises me that "Pak One" did not have "black boxes" installed which would have pointed to the cause of the accident. One can say that VVIP transports are not so equipped. That is not true.The crash of the VVIP jet carrying the Polish President and his top aides in Russia was investigated in meticulous detail (complete with 3-D computer graphics) because the black boxes were recovered intact. They told a chilling story.Being interested in these things, I must have read hundreds of air accident reports and I refuse to believe that with all the expertise available they do notIn a message dated 1/26/2013 1:47:15 P.M. Eastern Standard Time, briglatif@yahoo.co.uk writes:--
Who killed General Ziaul Haq-FIILE REDISCVERED-REPEAT FOR SOME
Who killed General Ziaul Haq
Barbara Crossette was the New York Times bureau chief in South Asia from 1988 to 1991Who Killed Zia?Barbara CrossetteOf all the violent political deaths in thetwentieth century, none with such great interestto the United States has been moreclouded than the mysterious air crash thatkilled President Mohammed Zia ul-Haqof Pakistan in 1988, a tragedy that alsoclaimed the life of a serving American ambassadorand most of General Zia's top commanders.The list of potential malefactorshas grown as the years have passed, compoundingthe mysteries buried in this peculiar,unfinished tale.The one unarguable fact is that no serious,conclusive, or even comprehensive inquiryinto the crash has been undertaken inthe United States, although one of its topdiplomats, Arnold Raphel, and an Americangeneral were killed—and in an Americanbuiltaircraft. Congress held a few hearings,but the FBI was kept away from the case fora year. No official report was made public.Indeed, a file in the National Archives containingabout 250 pages of documents onthe event is still classified secret.The undisputed facts about the crash ofthe Pakistani president's specially outfittedLockheed C-130 aircraft on August 17,1988, are not many. Even some of those"facts" are still in dispute and can be calledup to stoke suspicions of the United Statesin South Asia.General Zia was the steadfast ally of theUnited States against the Soviet Union inAfghanistan, and had willingly allowedPakistan to become the base of a holy warby the self-styled mujahidin against theMoscow-backed Afghan government. Ziahad seized power in 1977 after oustingPrime Minister Zulfikar Ali Bhutto in anonviolent coup. He later had Bhutto triedand hanged for a political murder in a controversialtrial. He had been Bhutto's ownchoice for army chief of staff.Zia, who began his military career inthe British Army in India in 1943 andmoved to Pakistan after the partition ofcolonial India at independence in 1947, remainedhead of the Pakistani military andpresident until his death. Although he hadtoyed on and off with the idea of an electedlegislature, he kept the country under martiallaw for 8 of his 11 years in power.General Zia had ambitious hopes ofarming Pakistan with the most sophisticatedAmerican tools: advanced F-16 fighterplanes, AWACS reconnaissance aircraft, andfield equipment to match or better India'slargely Soviet-supplied arsenal. He also promotedthe development of nuclear weapons,as had Bhutto, after India's 1974 nucleartest.On August 17, 1988, General Zia andfive of his top generals had gone to a deserttest site to watch a demonstration of theAbrams M-1/A-1 battle tank, which theUnited States was pressing Pakistan to buy.General Zia's armored battle experts werenot enthusiastic about the tank, and thepresident was reported to be much moreinterested in the AWACS. Nevertheless, hewanted to watch the trials, and traveled tothe test range not far from Bahawalpur,about 330 miles south of the Pakistani capital.The C-130 was left on the Bahawalpurairstrip, and the official party flew to thetest site by helicopter. With the tests overby late morning, General Zia and his entouragereturned to Bahawalpur for lunch,then took off for the return trip to Islamabad.Within minutes, the plane had plummetedwithout warning into a dusty wastelandand all aboard were dead.Conspiracy TheoriesThe wreckage of the doomed C-130 wasstill smoldering on a barren patch of Pakistanwhen the conspiracy theories began tomushroom. Who could have plotted thespectacular crash of Pakistan's Air ForceOne, wiping out with one blow Zia, AmbassadorRaphel, his defense attaché, Brig.Gen. Herbert M. Wassom, and most ofPakistan's top military commanders?From the beginning, reporters werenever short of theories to work with.Surely it had to have been the Russians,stung by their humiliating failure to subduethe odd assortment of Afghan holy warriorswho had found safe haven and generoussupport in Zia's Pakistan. Although Soviettroops had begun their withdrawal fromAfghanistan, Moscow had just halted theprocess to protest Pakistan's continuedarming of rebels.No, it must have been the Indians,Pakistan's traditional enemies, who werefriends of the Afghan Communist governmentand very anxious about the potentialfallout of an Islamist victory in Kabul,which General Zia was abetting. Indian intelligenceoperatives had a record of undercovermeddling in virtually every country inSouth Asia, most tragically in Sri Lanka,where Indian agents initially trained andsupplied Tamil separatists who have killed ageneration of Sri Lankan political leaders.What about the Afghans themselves, ledby the devious and ruthless Najibullah, aformer head of the secret police with a fearfulreputation for torture?Another candidate might be foundamong the American-backed Afghan holywarriors fighting the Soviet-backed government.This was Gulbadin Hekmatyar, perhapsthe most ruthless and self-serving ofseven mujahidin commanders. Hekmatyar,an evil and violent conspirator and sower ofdiscord then and now (since he has swunghis support to the Taliban cause), was reportedto be fearful that he was about tolose American money and military aid. Hehad certainly offended influential officials inboth Pakistan and the United States.Or the Iranians? Iran, a Shiite theocracy,looked askance at the prospect of a Sunniled(and pro-Pakistani) version of the samenext door. A homegrown version of this theoryblamed Pakistani Shias for the attack ona Sunni president.Could it be that dissatisfied, ambitiouselements in the Pakistani military—Shia orSunni—had pulled off a coup in disguise?One top general who did not board thedoomed aircraft became military chief ofstaff after the crash wiped out the Pakistanihigh command.Then, of course, there was the avowedlyviolent anti-Zia group known as al-Zulfikar,led by the late Murtaza Bhutto, the brotherof Benazir Bhutto, the Pakistani politicianwho would ultimately gain most from Zia'sdeparture. General's Zia's son Ijaz ul-Haqtold me a year after the crash that he was"101 percent sure" that Murtaza wasinvolved.Benazir Bhutto, who became primeminister in November 1988, herself venturedthat the fatal crash might well havebeen an "act of God."But wait, what about the Central IntelligenceAgency? Some influential Pakistanisand Indians peddled that suspicion immediately,on the ground that Zia had becomean embarrassment to the United States onseveral fronts, not least because of his uncertaincommitment toward a more democraticgovernment and his government's loyaltyto extremists among the Afghan rebels,who seemed to have spun out of Americancontrol.Then, of course, maybe the aircraft justmalfunctioned. This plane had a checkeredhistory.Accident or Sabotage?Adding to the mystery of who or whatkilled General Zia and fueling the "CIA didit" theory in South Asia was the less thanconclusive—some would say, less than serious—investigation that took place in thewake of the crash. Pakistan was given thelead in conducting a probe on the scene, butU.S. Defense Department and aircraft expertswere part of the investigating team.It was intended to be a joint investigationwith a joint conclusion, yet within twomonths of the crash, the American governmentwas alone in promoting the idea,without concrete material evidence, thata mechanical malfunction had broughtdown the plane. Most Pakistanis didn't seeit that way. From the start, they assumedassassination.Apparently to undercut Pakistan's conclusionson the eve of the report's formal releasein October 1988, the mechanical malfunctionstory was leaked to the New YorkTimes before rather different final resultswere presented to reporters in Islamabad.The Pakistanis declared the crash "a criminalact or sabotage leading to the loss of aircraftcontrol."Furthermore, although an American ambassadorand a high-ranking military officerwere among the dead, the State Departmentand the Pentagon ruled that the Federal Bureauof Investigation was not to investigate.(The FBI got a chance to reopen the case ayear later, when it was too late to examinecrucial evidence.) A few members of Congresssquawked at the haste with which theAmerican government pulled down thecurtains and drew its conclusion, one apparentlynot shared by American technical experts.In the United States, the story was asdead as Zia within a year.For at least one American, however, theissue is still painfully fresh. And he is nowadding one more theory to the list of potentialperpetrators.When General Zia's VIP C-130 aircraft,also known as Pak One, spiraled down atBahawalpur, near Multan in eastern Pakistan,John Gunther Dean was the U.S. ambassadorin neighboring India. Dean, a distinguisheddiplomat who had garnered moreambassadorships than most envoys of hisgeneration, was also a person with strongopinions drawn from years of experienceabroad, opinions he sharpened as he movedfrom post to post. He had on numerous occasionsclashed with superiors or disagreedwith the American policies he was expectedto promote. He was a prickly independentthinker, not a popular breed in diplomacy.In New Delhi in August 1988, a lotof history came together in Dean's mind.He had an immediate suspicion about whokilled Zia, but his putative perpetrator wasnot on the list of possible conspirators thenin circulation. Dean thought the plot to ridthe world of General Zia bore the hallmarksof Israel, or specifically the Israeli intelligenceagency, Mossad.Dean believed in "dissent through channels,"not leaks. And, knowing what a controversysuch a public accusation would unleash,and the effect it would have not onlyin the United States and South Asia but alsoin the wider Islamic world, he decided togo back to Washington to explain his theoryin person to his superiors at the State Department.That act cost him his diplomaticcareer.Poison Gas in the Mangoes?Among the murkier circumstances surroundingthe August 1988 crash was thepresence of so many important officials andmilitary officers on one aircraft. The beliefpersists to this day that Ambassador Rapheland General Wassom flew separately to Bahawalpurand were planning to return toIslamabad on the military attaché's plane.Thus, according to that story, a last-minutedecision by Raphel to board Zia's plane forthe return flight introduced a complicationfor would-be plotters and an unnecessarytragedy for the Americans.Not true, says Gen. Mahmud Ali Durrani,the (now-retired) commander of the armoreddivision in charge of the tank tests.In a telephone interview in July from hishome in Rawalpindi, the site of Pakistanimilitary headquarters, General Durrani, whohad been General's Zia's military secretaryfrom 1983 to 1986, said that the guest listfor the flight on the presidential plane hadbeen fixed by August 13, and the Americanswere on it. There was an American embassyplane also in service on the 17th, butit brought other diplomats and officialsfrom General Dynamics, the maker of theM-1 tank, he said.The tank demonstration at a desert sitecalled Tamewali was a bust; all sides agreeon that. General Durrani said that the M-1tank never performed well in the 90 daysthat three of the vehicles, capable of desertwarfare, had been on loan for field trials inPakistan. "They performed very badly, actually,"he said. "I don't remember a day whenall three were worthy of trials. One of theproblems with the tank was that they hadfilters that got choked with our kind ofdust. Our dust was not just sand. It wassand and clay mixed."General Zia and his group left Bahawalpurearly, ahead of a storm. The president'sC-130, a turboprop workhorse of aplane, had a comfortable, air-conditionedVIP capsule inside, where Zia and his Americanguests were seated. It was walled offfrom both the four-member flight crew anda passenger and baggage section in the rearfurnished only with benches.The plane was packed with Pakistani officers—"some who should have been thereand some who should not have been there,"said General Durrani, who dismisses thetheory that the crash might have been amilitary plot. Among those on board wasGen. Akhtar Abdul Rehman, chairman ofthe Pakistani joint chiefs of staff and anarchitect of the anti-Soviet guerrilla war inAfghanistan.Gen. Mirza Aslam Beg, the deputy chiefof army staff, was scheduled to fly back inanother, smaller plane. His decision to returnalone fueled suspicion immediately, butin the days and weeks that followed, hemade no attempt to take over the governmentor to derail the national electionsplanned for November of that year. Andwhen Benazir Bhutto's Pakistan PeoplesParty won those elections, the army did notintervene to prevent her becoming primeminister, a rare step for a woman in an Islamiccountry.Zia's plane took off from Bahawalpur at3:46 P.M. Barely five minutes later, accordingto witnesses on the ground, the planebegan to "porpoise" or "roller coaster" in thesky before dropping into the barren desertbelow with all its propellers still running atfull speed, drilling into the earth. It burstinto flames on contact.There was agreement among Pakistaniand American experts that there was nomidair explosion and no evidence of hostilefire on the plane. It seemed likely thatthe pilot and copilot had simply lost control—and lost consciousness?—minutes, ifnot seconds, into the flight. In those lastdoomed minutes, air traffic controllerscould not raise any response from the plane.General Durrani, who by then had returnedto his home base at Multan and did not seethe crash, dismisses as "garbage" the reportthat the copilot was heard shouting to thepilot, "What are you doing?" There wasno flight data recorder or voice recorder onthe C-130.Pakistan's official report on the crashfound traces of chemicals in the wreckage ofthe plane, a lot of which was buried in thesandy earth or scattered around the site bythe impact of the crash. Those chemicals,the Pakistanis said, were phosphorous, chlorine,potassium, antimony, and pentaaerythritoltetranitrate. They were all viewed aspotential elements in explosives.Of special interest to reporters as wellas conspiracy theorists at the time was thephosphorous found on mango seeds or skinsin the wreckage. There had been instantspeculation when the C-130 went down thatmangoes loaded onto the plane at the lastmoment may have contained explosives;now it was possible to speculate that thefruit was laced instead with a debilitating,possibly fatal gas. Khalid Hasan, a Pakistanianalyst writing in the independent Pakistaninewspaper Friday Times in 2004, said that itwas VX gas. Ambassador Dean was also toldin New Delhi that there was VX gas, whichnot many countries possessed.General Durrani, who was at the Tamewalitest site when President Zia arrived ina helicopter from Bahawalpur, said in Julythat there were two sets of mangoes on theplane when it went down. After the tanktest, he had sent two crates of the localfruit on the helicopter back to Bahawalpurwith General Zia, to be transferred to theC-130. That made him suspect in someeyes. But his mangoes had been thoroughlychecked, one by one, by security, he says."I believe some mangoes were also loaded atBahawalpur, which were presented by thelocal military and civilian leadership," hesaid. He had no control over those, or otherbaggage put on the plane.Nonetheless, he thinks the mango theoryis "faulty," because Pakistani investigatorswho focused on the mangoes did sowith explosives in mind, yet there was noexplosion in the air or on the ground."The aircraft did not explode," GeneralDurrani said, "It came down, hit the groundat a steep angle of about 60, 70 degrees,whiplashed the tail part forward [over thefront of the aircraft] then the plane burntexactly where it was. There were no explosions.In fact, I went there the next morningand visited that site and there was a completeprofile of the aircraft there on theground—the wingspan and the engines halfdug into the ground and the tail that hadwhiplashed forward."General Durrani did not address thepossibility of a nonexplosive but highlytoxic gas in the unchecked fruit or other objects.No autopsies were performed on thePakistani crew to test for gas poisoning.Various reasons were given, one being thattheir bodies were too fragmented to be examinedeffectively and/or that Muslim practicerequired burial of remains within 24hours, too soon for forensic work to be done.General Durrani said that the bodies of thepassengers and crew were reduced to bits ofcharred flesh, and that the victims wereidentifiable only by clothing or pieces ofidentification. Pakistan lacked the technicalexpertise to deal with that.Geopolitics Takes OverRobert Oakley, a member of President Reagan'sNational Security Council, was sent toPakistan immediately after the crash to takecharge of liaising with the Pakistanis in thewake of the tragedy, and then stayed on asambassador, replacing Raphel. In an interviewin May, he said that his first task in Islamabadwas "to get into this question ofinvestigating this plane crash and who wasbehind it and what was behind it." By then,Ghulam Ishaq Khan, a former finance ministerand president of the Senate, had becomeacting president."I talked to the president of the countryand the chief of the army staff and the headof the air force and, with the support of theState Department and Defense Departmentin Washington, we agreed there would be ajoint report, not separate reports, and thatthe report would be issued after everythinghad been completed, and there wouldn't beany interim reports," Oakley said. "This irritatedsome people who wanted to know,'What's going on?' But the Defense Departmentand State Department were absolutelyfirm, saying that this is the only way wecould do it." [They said,] 'If there are anyleaks and things it is going to upset thePakistanis no end. It's going to destroy thelikelihood that they are going to be honestwith us, and we won't end up with a crediblereport.'" Ironically, the leaking was donein Washington.Oakley said he told the Pakistanis that"with a joint report we avoid a lot of mutualrecriminations and undue suspicions." Butin a matter of weeks, Oakley added, Americanscould see a mechanical conclusion shapingup. [From] "the U.S. team, which wassent to do the investigation on the ground,plus all the intelligence backup that we hadfrom all possible sources, our conclusion wasthere was no evidence to support the idea ofany outside force, outside intervention, outsideinvolvement," he said. "There was noindication on the plane that anything hadcome from the outside to cause the crash.There was also no indication of any explosivesor any explosion inside the plane."The conclusion of our technicians andothers who looked at it, including therecords of all C-130s—both the Air Forcerecords and the Lockheed Martin records—[was] that this was a mechanical malfunction,"Oakley said. "They said it was very,very likely to be a mechanical malfunction,although we can't prove it because we didn'thave enough pieces from the wreckage.Everything that had happened to the planewas consistent with previous incidents—Ithink there were 19 or 20 of them—whereC-130s sort of porpoised [due to] malfunctionof the rudder—the hydraulic system."The United States expected Pakistanidisagreement. "We believed that the Pakistaniswould not endorse this view," Oakleysaid. "The Pakistanis said, 'We can't pinpointany specific evidence to show thatthere was outside involvement, or that therewas an explosion of some kind from outsidethe plane or inside the plane, but we believethat in all probability some outside elementwas involved somehow in the crash.' Weended up with a split opinion, if you will,in public."In Washington, geopolitics had takenover. "One of the first things that had to bedone after Zia's death to maintain a goodrelationship between the United Statesand Pakistan was to put this issue to bed,"Oakley recalled. "They had their say andwe had our say, and we couldn't prove conclusivelythat there was no outside conspiracy,and they couldn't prove conclusivelythat there was."Pakistanis have suggested that Washingtondidn't want to blame anyone at thatpoint, including the Russians, because theirgoodwill was essential to completing theSoviet withdrawal from Afghanistan withoutlast-minute setbacks.In Islamabad in the days and weeks afterGeneral Zia's death, Oakley, anxious that relationswith Pakistan remain on an evenkeel in the critical last months of the Sovietpresence in the region, heard all the rumorsand suspicions. The Israelis were not amongthose held suspect, he said. But might Israelhave wanted to preempt a Pakistani nuclearbomb, which Zia had not only promotedbut had also promised to share with otherIslamic nations? "The prospects for Pakistanactually having a bomb were quite far off,and removed, although there was a certainamount of speculation that maybe eventuallysomething would happen," Oakley said."At that stage, 1988, that was not an imminentprospect."Yossef Bodansky, a strategic analyst withclose ties to Israel who is known for his longshots—and a proponent of the theory thatthe Soviet security service, the KGB, wouldhave been the most likely assassin of Zia—wrote a decade later that Pakistan was, indeed,capable of assembling nuclear weaponsby 1988. And South Asians, along witheverybody else, had recently seen what Israelwas willing to do to stop Islamic nationsfrom becoming nuclear powers. In June1981, the Israelis had bombed Iraq's Osiraknuclear facility to prevent Baghdad frommoving into weapons production.Ambassador Dean's SuspicionsFor almost two decades, John Gunther Deanremained silent about what had led him tosuspect the Israelis in the Pakistani crash,and about the price he feels he has paid fortrying to interest Washington in his suspicions.But over the last few years, Dean, now80 years old, has been collecting his papersand his thoughts for public consumption.He has been interviewed extensively for anofficial oral history, part of the Foreign AffairsOral History Collection of the Associationfor Diplomatic Studies and Training inArlington, Virginia. A large collection of hisdiplomatic documents have been donated tothe National Archives and deposited in theJimmy Carter Library in Atlanta.He is also seeking to reopen the questionof his reputation within the State Department,where he was, in effect, declaredmentally incompetent in 1988 on his visitto Washington following the crash. Indiplomatic parlance, he lost his medicalclearance. His security clearance was alsolifted, and he ultimately resigned from theForeign Service. He was 62.The State Department produced as evidencethat he was not in a fit mental state aletter from the department's chief medicalofficer for the South Asian region, Dr. DavidKoch, who said that Dean appeared in lateAugust 1988 to be "under stress." Furtherneurological tests were done on Dean, withhis cooperation, when he was in Washington.He also had his own tests done and hasmarshaled medical opinion to counter theofficial diagnoses.A former foreign service officer whoworked on the case said that it was Dean'sstate of mind and not his suspicions of Israelthat were, at least officially, always the keyfactor in the startling nonreception he receivedin Washington. Stephen J. Solarz,then a congressman who was a leading figureon Asian affairs on Capitol Hill—and afriend of both Israel and India—said he wasgiven to understand that Dean had suffereda nervous breakdown.In any case, Dean was ordered not to returnto India. He was sent to his countryhome in Switzerland to "rest" for more thansix weeks and then allowed to travel to NewDelhi to pack and say his goodbyes. A successorhad already been chosen for the Delhiambassadorship well before Dean's ill-fatedtrip to Washington, and he knew that therewere plans to replace him, perhaps severalmonths before Zia's death.Policy issues were also a factor in theway Dean was treated, other diplomats fromthat era say. Among some policymakersin the Reagan administration, Dean wasthought to be too close to India and its thenprime minister, Rajiv Gandhi, and too willingto accept and explain away India's persistentsupport for the Najibullah governmentin Kabul. (At one point, the Indiangovernment gave Najibullah the run of thepress center in Delhi to meet the internationalpress corps. His outrageously heavyhandedperformance could not have helpedhis cause very much, however.) India, echoingMoscow, wanted at the very least acoalition in Kabul with a pro-Soviet factionretaining some power in the capital. Thiswas not in the American plan at that point,though there were proponents of a coalitionsolution in Washington.Still, this doesn't quite explain the timing,or the suddenness with which Dean was"drummed out" of the American diplomaticcorps—or how quickly his medical clearancewas reinstated before he retired formally andirrevocably from the diplomatic service inApril 1989. "If I'm wrong," he said to merecently, "I don't mind people telling meI'm wrong. But don't say I'm mentallyderanged."Dean is perhaps primarily interested inclearing his own record, which culminated,ironically, in a distinguished service awardfor a career that included opening postcolonialWest Africa to the United States andcrafting an agreement in Laos that savedthat country from the kind of civil wars thatconsumed Vietnam and Cambodia. Later, heserved as ambassador in Cambodia (where hedisagreed with Henry Kissinger about rulingout negotiations with the Communists,even the Khmer Rouge) as well as in Denmark,Lebanon, Thailand, and finally India.But in seeking to reopen the case ofwhat happened to General Zia, Dean alsowants to remind policymakers and the publicof the unanswered questions about thedeaths of Pakistan's president and an Americanambassador beloved by his foreign servicecolleagues, deaths that should not so easilybe written off. Dean is eager to encouragea new look at the events surroundingthe crash and more research into the possibilityof American-Israeli collusion in effectivelysinking the subsequent investigation.Dean does not say that he believes Israelwas totally to blame for the crash of thePakistani C-130. Rather, he says that therecould have also been other familiar handssharing in the plot: India (whose relationswith Israel have improved dramaticallysince then), the Afghans, perhaps somePakistanis, or the KGB. It was the sophisticationof the suspected plot's execution thatintrigues him, and points him to Israeliplanning. If it was an assassination, it wasa very neat job.The only comprehensive American journalisticinvestigation into the mystery waswritten by Edward Jay Epstein and publishedin Vanity Fair in September 1989.(Epstein, who now writes mostly aboutHollywood, did not respond to e-mailsabout whether he had continued to followthe story.) His account does not mentionIsrael, but does conclude that there wasmuch more to investigate.Dean now lives in retirement in Parisand Verbier, Switzerland, with his Frenchbornwife, Martine. I had encountered himfirst when he was ambassador in Bangkokand later in New Delhi, where my assignmentsas a New York Times correspondentcoincided with his diplomatic postings, andI knew of his work in various other Asianembassies. But we had been out of touch formore than a decade.In two days of conversations in May inthe Deans' apartment in the fashionable16th arondissement of Paris, he spoke ofyears of accumulated personal annoyanceswith Israeli diplomats abroad, pro-Israelimembers of Congress, and the lobby groupAIPAC—the American Israel Public AffairsCommittee—who seemed to assume thatbecause he was a Jew born in Germany whofled the Nazis with his family in 1939 hewould be an automatic supporter of Israeligovernments and policies. He was disturbedthat a small country like Israel seemed tohave so much power in Washington, amongboth Democrats and Republicans. "I wasAIPAC's Peck's bad boy," he said.Dean is on record as having blamed theIsraelis of trying to kill him in Lebanon in1980, when he was the American ambassadorthere and had been criticized in theKnesset for being too pro-Palestinian. Hewas dismayed to discover, with Americangovernment help, that the ammunition thatstruck his convoy of three cars coming downfrom the hills near Beirut was American,from a batch sold to Israel.His ambassadorship in India appears tohave been fraught from the start. He saidthat after arriving in New Delhi in 1986,he was frequently lobbied by congressionaldelegations or the State Department to intercedewith the Indians on Israel's behalf.(For example, to have Israel's lone, low-levelconsulate in India, in Bombay, upgradedduring a period when India fawned on YassirArafat and made life miserable for Israelidiplomats.)Dean said he was also pressed to speakup in South Asia about Israel's views on howdangerous General Zia was becoming to theregion. Israel seemed intent on demonizingZia. But did that mean they would be willingto eliminate him? "If you ask me," Deansaid, "do I have 100 percent proof? No. AllI know is I had people from Congress comingto me and saying, John, a man of yourbackground, you have to go and help on theIsraeli issue. I said, What are you talkingabout? I'm the American ambassador [in India].Whatever my religious views are, arebetween myself and my maker. I resent this.Go and talk to Arnie Raphel—and ArnieRaphel by the way was Jewish, and he gotalong great with Zia. Why did these Congresspeople come to me and say, John, yougotta help curb the Pakistani ambitions fora bomb? Why did they come to me to askthe Indians to be more forthcoming withIsrael?"Dean thus leaves the impression thatthere is much personal baggage behind hisanalysis of the Zia mystery. But that doesnot diminish or change the widespreadshared sense among others who were thereat the time that the aircraft malfunctiontheory was never really credible. And inSouth Asia, where investigations too oftenfizzle out inconclusively, no one but theAmericans could have worked methodicallythrough a case like this with any hope ofresolution.General Durrani, who calls the Israelithesis "far-fetched" and to be expected tohave emerged in South Asia, "where wehave a habit of blaming the Jews for almostall bad things," nevertheless agrees that itwas a bewildering decision and a seriousmistake in Washington not to field a fullscaleinvestigation of the 1988 crash whilematerial evidence still existed. "I don'tknow why the U.S. didn't come into thisand do a proper investigation," he said. AnAmerican investigation might well havefound undeniable evidence of a fatal mechanicalfault, helping to quash some, ifnot all, of the conspiracy theories that continueto flourish, among them the most persistentand damaging of all to the UnitedStates: that the CIA got rid of General Ziaand didn't care if it had to kill an Americanambassador in the process."This is not an infallible aircraft," GeneralDurrani said. "I had traveled manytimes on it with the president and manytimes we had mechanical, electrical problems.On three, four occasions, we had toabandon the aircraft for one reason or theother. This is what I regret very deeply, thata proper scientific investigation was notdone."The Unfinished StoryThe unfinished story of the sudden death ofGeneral Zia is not without relevance today,when the United States is dependent on thesupport of another unpredictable Pakistanigeneral, Pervez Musharraf, in a new era ofinvolvement in Afghanistan and the searchfor Osama bin Laden.In the 1980s, General Zia was not onlyamassing, or trying to purchase, a significantarsenal of sophisticated American aircraftand weaponry, but he was also suspectedof working on a nuclear weapon to matchIndia's. Zulfikar Ali Bhutto had dubbed itthe "Islamic bomb," and Zia proclaimedthat he would be happy to share it with otherMuslim nations. This alarmed not onlyIndia but also Russia and Israel, among others.Since then, Pakistan has only upped thelevel of anxiety with a now openly acknowledgednuclear weapons program. Worse, thecountry has been found to be a purveyor ofdangerous and illegal nuclear exports.If getting rid of General Zia—if thatis what happened—was intended to solvesome of the problems in dealing with Afghanistan,the record shows that that hopewas at best an illusion. But even if Zia diedin a genuine accident, both the Pakistanisand Indians have refilled wells of cynicismabout the United States from what lookedlike the American indifference to solvingthe riddle of his death.Given prolonged American involvementwith Pakistan, isn't it time to look backwith greater diligence and seriousness atthis mystery? The longer the tragedy goesunexamined in any rigorous, if not conclusive,way, the more internally contradictoryand bizarre this story becomes.
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